Prof. Dr. Athanasios Vafeidis

Prof. Dr. Athanasios Vafeidis

Group Leader

Coastal Risks and Sea-Level Rise Research Group

Nassos joined the Institute of Geography at CAU in February 2008 and is leading the CRSLR Research Group. He has a background in Surveying Engineering and received his MEng at the National Technical University of Athens. He went on to complete an MSc in Physical Geography at the University of London (King's College) where he specialised in Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing. After a one-year break working as a consultant in the industy, he returned to Kingís College where he obtained his PhD degree in Physical Geography. He then moved to the Flood Hazard Research Centre (Middlesex University) where he worked on the DINAS-Coast and Atlantis research projects. Before he joined CAU he was a visiting researcher at the University of the Aegean (Greece) and at the University of Southampton (UK).


Nassos has participated as a principal investigator in a number of collaborative research projects. He has co-authored peer-reviewed articles, book chapters and scientific reports and has also contributed to the Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change and to the Fifth Assessment Report of the IPCC WGII.


His teaching includes modules on “Climate Change”, “Coastal Zone Dynamics”, “Applications of GIS in coastal regions” and “Coasts of the World”.

VAFEIDIS, A.T.; ABDULLA, A.A.; BONDEAU, A.; BROTONS, L.; LUDWIG, R.; PORTMAN, M.; REIMANN, L.; VOUSDOUKAS, M., XOPLAKI, E. (2020): Managing future risks and building socio-ecological resilience in the Mediterranean. In: Climate and Environmental Change in the Mediterranean Basin – Current Situation and Risks for the Future. First Mediterranean Assessment Report [Cramer W, Guiot J, Marini K (eds.)] Union for the Mediterra-nean, Plan Bleu, UNEP/MAP, Marseille, France, 49pp, in press
CHERIF,S.; DOBLAS-MIRANDA, E.; LIONELLO, P.; BORREGO, C.; GIOGI, F.; IGLESIAS, A.; JEBARI, S.; MAHMOUDI, E.; MORIONDO, M.; PRINGAULT, O.; RILOV, G.; SOMOT, S.; TSIKLIRAS, A.; VILA, M.; ZITTIS, G. (2020): Drivers of change. In: Climate and Environmental Change in the Mediterranean Basin – Current Situation and Risks for the Future. First Mediterranean Assessment Report [Cramer W, Guiot J, Marini K (eds.)] Union for the Mediterranean, Plan Bleu, UNEP/MAP, Marseille, France, 128pp, in press.
ARNS, A.; WAHL, T.; WOLFF, C.; VAFEIDIS, A.; HAIGH, I.; WOODWORTH, P.; NIEHÜSER, S.; JENSEN, J. (2020): Non-linear interaction modulates global extreme sea levels, coastal flood exposure, and impacts. In: Nat Commun 11, 1918 (2020).
KOERTH, J., VAFEIDIS, A. and J. HINKEL (2016): Household-Level Coastal Adaptation and Its Drivers: A Systematic Case Study Review. In: Risk Analysis, p. 1-18. doi:10.1111/risa.12663.
SPENCER, T., SCHUERCH, M., NICHOLLS, R., HINKEL, J., LINCKE, D., VAFEIDIS, A., REEF, R., MCFADDEN, L. and S. BROWN (2016): Global coastal wetland change under sea-level rise and related stresses: The DIVA Wetland Change Model. In: Global and Planetary Change 139, p. 15-30. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.12.018.
MERKENS, J.-L., REIMANN, L., HINKEL, J. and A. VAFEIDIS (2016): Gridded population projections for the coastal zone under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. In: Global and Planetary Change 175, p. 57-66. doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.08.009.
WOLFF, C., VAFEIDIS, A.T., LINCKE, D., MARASMI, C. and J. HINKEL (2016): Effects of scale and input data on assessing the future impacts of coastal flooding: An application of DIVA for the Emilia-Romagna coast. In: Frontiers in Marine Science 3. doi:10.3389/fmars.2016.00041.
RAPAGLIA, J., ZAGGIA, L., PARNELL, K., LORENZETTI, G. and A. VAFEIDIS (2015): Ship-wake induced sediment remobilization: Effects and proposed management strategies for the Venice Lagoon. In: Ocean & Coastal Management 110, p. 1-11. doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2015.03.002.
NEUMANN, B., VAFEIDIS, A.T., ZIMMERMANN, J. and R. J. NICHOLLS (2015): Future Coastal Population Growth and Exposure to Sea-Level Rise and Coastal Flooding - A Global Assessment. In: PLoS ONE 10(3):e0118571. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0118571
BROWN, S., NICHOLLS, R.J., HANSON, S., BRUNDRIT, G., DEARING, J.A., DICKSON, M.E., GALLOP, S.L., GAO, S., HAIGH, I.D., HINKEL, J., JIMENEZ, J.A., KLEIN, R.J.T., KRON, W., LAZAR, A.N., NEVES, C.F., NEWTON, A., PATTIARATACHI, C., PAYO, A., PYE, K., SANCHEZ-ARCILLA, A., SIDDALL, M., SHAREEF, A., TOMPKINS, E.L., VAFEIDIS, A.T., VAN MAANEN, B., WARD, P.J. and C.D. WOODROFFE (2014): Shifting Perspectives on Coastal Impacts and Adaptation. In: Nature Climate Change 4(9), p. 752–755.
HINKEL, J., LINCKE, D., VAFEIDIS, A.T., PERRETTE, M., NICHOLLS, R.J., TOL, R.S., MARZEION, B., FETTWEIS, X., IONESCU, C. and A. Levermann (2014): Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise. In: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111(9), p. 3292–3297.
KOERTH, J., VAFEIDIS, A.T., CARRETERO, S., STERR, H. and J. HINKEL (2014): A typology of household-level adaptation to coastal flooding and its spatio-temporal patterns. In: SpringerPlus 3(1), 466. doi:10.1186/2193-1801-3-466
PAPAIOANNOU, E.A., VAFEIDIS, A.T., QUAAS, M.F., SCHMIDT, J.O. and H.V. STREHLOW (2014): Using indicators based on primary fisheries' data for assessing the development of the German Baltic small-scale fishery and reviewing its adaptation potential to changes in resource abundance and management during 2000-09. In: Ocean and Coastal Management 98, p. 38–50. doi:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2014.06.005
SCHUERCH, M., DOLCH, T., REISE, K. and A.T. VAFEIDIS (2014): Unravelling interactions between salt marsh evolution and sedimentary processes in the Wadden Sea (southeastern North Sea). In: Progress in Physical Geography 38 (6), p. 691-715, doi:10.1177/0309133314548746.
HINKEL, J., NICHOLLS, R.J., TOL, R.S., WANG, Z.B., HAMILTON, J.M, BOOT, G., VAFEIDIS, A.T., MCFADDEN, L., GANOPOLSKI, A. and R.J. KLEIN (2013): A Global Analysis of Coastal Erosion of Beaches due to Sea-level Rise: An Application of DIVA. In: Global and Planetary Change 111, p. 150–158. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.09.002
SCHUERCH, M., VAFEIDIS, A., SLAWIG, T. and S. TEMMERMAN (2013): Modeling the influence of changing storm patterns on the ability of a salt marsh to keep pace with sea level rise. In: Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface 118, p. 84–96. doi:10.1029/2012JF002471.
KOERTH, J., JONES, N., VAFEIDIS, A.T., DIMITRAKOPOULOS, P.G., MELLIOU, A., CHATZIIDIMITRIOU, E. and S. KOUKOUlLAS (2013): Household adaptation and intention to adapt to coastal flooding in the Axios - Loudias - Aliakmonas National Park, Greece. In: Ocean and Coastal Management 82, p. 42–50. doi: 10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2013.05.008
BROWN, S., NICHOLLS, R.J., WOODROFFE, C.D., HANSON, S., HINKEL, J., KEBEDE, A.S., NEUMANN, B. and A.T. VAFEIDIS (2013): Sea-level rise impact and responses: A global perspective. In: FINKL, C. (ed.): Coastal Hazards. Coastal Research Library Vol. 6, p. 117-150. Springer.
KOERTH, J., VAFEIDIS, A.T., HINKEL, J. and H. STERR (2013): What motivates coastal households to adapt pro-actively to sea-level rise and increasing flood risk. In: Regional Environmental Change 13(4), p. 897-909.
SCHUERCH, M., RAPAGLIA, J., LIEBETRAU, V., VAFEIDIS, A. and K. REISE (2012): Salt marsh accretion and storm tide variation: An example from a barrier island in the North Sea. In: Estuaries and Coasts 35(2), p. 486–500.
RÖMER, H., WILLROTH, P., KAISER, G., VAFEIDIS, A.T., LUDWIG, R., STERR, H. and J. REVILLA DIEZ J. (2012): Potential of remote sensing techniques for tsunami hazard and vulnerability analysis–a case study from Phang-Nga province, Thailand. In: National Hazards Earth System Sciences 12, p. 2103–2126.
PAPAIOANNOU, E.A., VAFEIDIS, A.T., QUASS, M.F. and J.O. SCHMIDT (2012): The development and use of a spatial database for the determination and characterization of the state of the German Baltic small-scale fishery sector. In: ICES Journal of Marine Science: Journal du Conseil 69(8), p. 1480–1490.
HINKEL, J., BROWN, S., EXNER, L., NICHOLLS, R.J., VAFEIDIS, A.T. and A.S. ABEBE (2012): Sea-level rise impacts in Africa and the effects of mitigation and adaptation: an application of DIVA. In: Regional Environmental Change 12(1), p. 207–224.
LICHTER, M., VAFEIDIS, A.T., NICHOLLS, R.J and G. KAISER (2011): Exploring data-related uncertainties in analyses of land area and population in the Low Elevation Coastal Zone (LECZ). In: Journal of Coastal Research 27(4), p. 757–768. doi:10.2112/jcoastres-d-1000072.1
HOUGHTON, K.J., VAFEIDIS, A.T., NEUMANN, B. and A. PROELSS (2010): Maritime boundaries in a rising sea. In: Nature Geoscience 3, p. 813–816.
HINKEL, J., NICHOLLS, R.J., VAFEIDIS, A.T., TOL, R.S.J. and T. AVAGIANOU (2010): Assessing risk of and adaptation to sea-level rise in the European Union: an application of DIVA. In: Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 15(7), p. 703–719. doi:10.1007/s11027-010-9237-y.
NICHOLLS, R.J, TOL, R.S.J. and A.T. VAFEIDIS (2008): Global estimates of the impact of a collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet - An application of FUND. In: Climatic Change 91 (1-2), p. 171–191.
VAFEIDIS, A.T., NICHOLLS, R.J., MCFADDEN, L., TOL, R.S.J., HINKEL, J., SPENCER, T., GRASHOFF, P.S., BOOT, G. and R.J.T. KLEIN (2008): A new global database for assessing the vulnerability of coastal zones to sea-level rise. In. Journal of Coastal Research 24(4), p. 917–924.
LONSDALE, K.G., DOWNING, T.E., NICHOLLS, R.J., PARKER, D., VAFEIDIS, A.T., DAWSON, R.J. and J. HALL (2008): Plausible responses to the threat of rapid sea-level rise for the Thames Estuary. In: Climatic Change 91(1-2), p. 145–169.
POUMADERE, M., MAYS, C., PFEIFLE, G. and A.T. VAFEIDIS (2008): Worst case scenario and stakeholder group decision: A 5-6 meter sea-level rise in the Rhone Delta, France. In: Climatic Change 91(1-2), p. 123–143.
MCFADDEN, L., NICHOLLS, R.J., VAFEIDIS, A.T. and R.S.J. TOL (2007): A methodology for modeling coastal space for global assessment. In: Journal of Coastal Research 23(4), p. 911-920.
TOL, R.S.J., BOHN, M., DOWNING, E.T., GUILLERMINET, M.L., HIZSNYIK, E., KASPERSON, R., LONSDALE, K., MAYS, C., NICHOLLS, R.J., OLSTHOORN, A.A., PFEIFLE, G., POUMADERE, M., TOHT, F.L., VAFEIDIS, A.T., VAN DER WERFF, P.E. and I.H. YETKINER (2006): Adaptation to five metres of sea-level rise. In: Journal of Risk Research 9(5), S. 467–48

Prof. Dr. Athanasios Vafeidis

Geographisches Institut

Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel

Ludewig-Meyn-Str. 14

24098 Kiel


+49 (0)431 880 2946


Nassos's main research focus is the assessment of impacts of coastal hazards, with particular emphasis on how these impacts will be exacerbated by rising sea levels and increasing human pressure in coastal regions. His research to date includes the compilation of global spatial databases for coastal vulnerability analysis and the development of models for assessing the impacts of coastal hazards and accelerated sea-level rise on coastal land use. He is also involved in the development and application of the DIVA integrated assessment model.